MyTrendTimer :
Gold Ounce
of
January 16, 2007 |
Weekly Comment about this asset/index |
Publication of the MyTrendTimer Report was late due to holidays.
Strong U.S. and Japanese economic data helped Asian stock indexes to gains of 1 percent and more on Monday, and sent Japanese government bonds to a 2 1/2 month low as investors eyed a possible Bank of Japan rate rise.
With the Dow industrials standing at a record high, oil prices at multi-month lows and the economy chugging along at a better pace than what some had been expecting, it's hard to see what could upset stock investors.
Oil prices retreated below $53 a barrel on Tuesday, as investors doubted OPEC's resolve to trim production and instead focused on the mild winter and high fuel stockpile in top energy consumer the United States. |
|
Financial Instrument | Value |
Instrument Name | Gold Ounce |
Symbol | GC |
Currency | USD |
Underlying instrument | iShares COMEX Gold Trust (IAU) |
|
Trend/Signal | Value |
Current Trend/Signal |
Bullish (last signal was a Buy)
|
Strenght | 1.8 |
Date (dd.MM.yyyy) | 16.01.2007 |
|
Generated Operations Chart |
 |
|
Generated Operations |
Nature | Date (dd.MM.yyyy) | # Days previous op. | Quote | Result previous op. |
Buy | 23.04.2001 | 000 | 263.40 | +0.00 |
Sell | 24.05.2004 | 1127 | 385.70 | +46.43 |
Buy | 07.07.2004 | 044 | 402.00 | +4.23 |
Sell | 03.06.2005 | 331 | 421.90 | +4.95 |
Buy | 06.06.2005 | 003 | 425.60 | +0.88 |
Current | 15.01.2007 | 588 | 625.00 | +46.85 |
|
Return and result of the differents strategies |
Time Weighted Return of | Value (over the Period) |
Buy and Hold | +116.64 |
Model Buy and Hold | +137.28 |
Model Long Only | +125.68 |
Model Short Only | -5.14 |
Model Long and Short | +114.08 |
|
Time Weighted Return of | Value (Annualized) |
Buy and Hold | +20.06 |
Model Buy and Hold | +23.61 |
Model Long Only | +21.62 |
Model Short Only | -0.88 |
Model Long and Short | +19.62 |
|
Model OverPerf vs Model Buy and Hold | Value (Annualized) |
Model Long vs Model Buy and Hold | -2.00 |
Model Short vs Model Buy and Hold | -24.50 |
Model Long and Short vs Model Buy and Hold | -3.99 |
|
Model OverPerf vs Buy and Hold | Value (Annualized) |
Model Long vs Buy and Hold | +1.56 |
Model Short vs Buy and Hold | -20.95 |
Model Long and Short vs Buy and Hold | -0.44 |
|
|
Various statistical indicators for this asset |
Last 20 quotes Statistics | Value |
Mean quote | 620.27 |
Variance | 67.63 |
Standard Deviation | 8.22 |
Lowest quote | 605.50 |
Highest quote | 634.60 |
Median | 620.05 |
Max Daily Loose percent | -2.46 |
Max Daily Gain percent | 2.24 |
Simple Perf. | -0.67 |
|
Last 5 quotes Statistics | Value |
Mean quote | 614.85 |
Variance | 58.03 |
Standard Deviation | 7.62 |
Lowest quote | 607.70 |
Highest quote | 625.00 |
Median | 616.35 |
Max Daily Loose percent | -0.11 |
Max Daily Gain percent | 2.24 |
Simple Perf. | 2.85 |
|
Previous year Statistics | Value |
Mean quote | 602.79 |
Variance | 1'553.54 |
Standard Deviation | 39.41 |
Lowest quote | 514.60 |
Highest quote | 713.10 |
Median | 613.85 |
Max Daily Loose percent | -5.06 |
Max Daily Gain percent | 4.68 |
Simple Perf. | 22.72 |
First quote | 517.10 |
Last quote | 634.60 |
|
Current year Statistics | Value |
Mean quote | 617.73 |
Variance | 97.24 |
Standard Deviation | 9.86 |
Lowest quote | 605.50 |
Highest quote | 634.60 |
Median | 620.05 |
Max Daily Loose percent | -2.46 |
Max Daily Gain percent | 2.24 |
Simple Perf. | -1.51 |
First quote | 634.60 |
Last quote | 625.00 |
|
Seasonal Return by Month for this asset |
Month | Cumulated TWR Return. | #Month | Average TWR Return |
January | +3.70 | 8 | +0.46 |
February | +3.31 | 7 | +0.47 |
March | -0.36 | 7 | -0.05 |
April | +4.93 | 7 | +0.70 |
May | +13.52 | 7 | +1.93 |
June | -6.33 | 7 | -0.90 |
July | -1.91 | 7 | -0.27 |
August | +15.97 | 7 | +2.28 |
September | +20.15 | 7 | +2.88 |
October | -8.66 | 7 | -1.24 |
November | +26.56 | 7 | +3.79 |
December | +15.09 | 7 | +2.16 |
|
TWR Return by Year for this asset |
Year | TWR Return. |
2000 | -5.56 |
2001 | +2.29 |
2002 | +24.58 |
2003 | +19.56 |
2004 | +5.08 |
2005 | +18.55 |
2006 | +22.72 |
2007 | -1.51 |
|
Year 2000 to 2003 Monthly performance |
Month | Year | Performance |
January | 2000 | -1.99 |
February | 2000 | +3.80 |
March | 2000 | -5.79 |
April | 2000 | -0.54 |
May | 2000 | -0.93 |
June | 2000 | +5.95 |
July | 2000 | -4.21 |
August | 2000 | +0.00 |
September | 2000 | -0.90 |
October | 2000 | -3.34 |
November | 2000 | +2.13 |
December | 2000 | +0.72 |
January | 2001 | -2.55 |
February | 2001 | +0.56 |
March | 2001 | -3.48 |
April | 2001 | +2.37 |
May | 2001 | +0.74 |
June | 2001 | +1.83 |
July | 2001 | -1.44 |
August | 2001 | +2.85 |
September | 2001 | +6.45 |
October | 2001 | -4.28 |
November | 2001 | -1.93 |
December | 2001 | +1.68 |
January | 2002 | +1.22 |
February | 2002 | +5.10 |
March | 2002 | +1.96 |
April | 2002 | +2.02 |
May | 2002 | +5.80 |
June | 2002 | -3.92 |
July | 2002 | -3.29 |
August | 2002 | +3.10 |
September | 2002 | +3.68 |
October | 2002 | -1.97 |
November | 2002 | +0.41 |
December | 2002 | +8.84 |
January | 2003 | +5.85 |
February | 2003 | -4.82 |
March | 2003 | -4.00 |
April | 2003 | +0.86 |
May | 2003 | +7.59 |
June | 2003 | -5.10 |
July | 2003 | +2.37 |
August | 2003 | +5.99 |
September | 2003 | +2.56 |
October | 2003 | -0.23 |
November | 2003 | +3.70 |
December | 2003 | +4.27 |
|
Year 2004 to 200n Monthly performance |
Month | Year | Performance |
January | 2004 | -3.23 |
February | 2004 | -1.39 |
March | 2004 | +7.78 |
April | 2004 | -9.30 |
May | 2004 | +1.68 |
June | 2004 | -0.36 |
July | 2004 | -0.36 |
August | 2004 | +4.83 |
September | 2004 | +2.12 |
October | 2004 | +1.72 |
November | 2004 | +5.94 |
December | 2004 | -3.28 |
January | 2005 | -3.21 |
February | 2005 | +3.10 |
March | 2005 | -2.00 |
April | 2005 | +1.88 |
May | 2005 | -4.10 |
June | 2005 | +4.41 |
July | 2005 | -1.33 |
August | 2005 | +1.26 |
September | 2005 | +7.98 |
October | 2005 | -0.81 |
November | 2005 | +6.42 |
December | 2005 | +4.34 |
January | 2006 | +9.86 |
February | 2006 | -2.69 |
March | 2006 | +6.01 |
April | 2006 | +8.40 |
May | 2006 | +2.47 |
June | 2006 | -8.47 |
July | 2006 | +6.74 |
August | 2006 | -2.79 |
September | 2006 | -2.86 |
October | 2006 | +0.05 |
November | 2006 | +7.64 |
December | 2006 | -1.87 |
January | 2007 | -1.51 |
|
Quotes Used | Value |
Quote File Used | /local/java/TrendTimer/data/GC_20070116.csv |
# of Quotes | 1814 |
File first date (dd.MM.yyyy) | 03.01.2000 |
File first quote | 288.50 |
File last date (dd.MM.yyyy) | 15.01.2007 |
File last quote | 625.00 |
First data considered (dd.MM.yyyy) | 25.08.2000 |
First data considered | 273.60 |
Min. Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy) | 02.04.2001 |
Min. Quote value | 255.30 |
Max Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy) | 12.05.2006 |
Max Quote value | 713.10 |
Max daily drop date (dd.MM.yyyy) | 15.05.2006 |
Max Daily Drop percent | -5.06 |
Max daily gain date (dd.MM.yyyy) | 18.05.2001 |
Max daily Gain percent | 5.03 |
|
Operations Statistics | Value |
# Generated operations | 6 |
Avg # op. by year | 1.03 |
# Days | 2093 |
# Days in years | 5.81 |
Biggest loose (Long only) | +0.00 |
Min # days uninvested (before Buy operation) | 3 |
Max # days uninvested (before Buy operation) | 44 |
Min # days invested (before Sell operation) | 331 |
Max # days invested (before Sell operation) | 1127 |
|
|
Technical | Value |
Program Name | MyTrendTimer v0.99.88.6 |
Java Version | 1.6.0-rc |
OS Name | Linux |
OS Version | 2.6.19-1.2895.fc6 |
User Name | marc |
Calculation Time (Ms) | 703 |
Tech Id | 433039311-1511630 |
XML output file | GC_20070116.xml |
Web Root | http://www.myTrendTimer.com/ |
Complete Xml URL | http://www.myTrendTimer.com/xml/GC_20070116.xml |
# Warnings found | 0 |
Generated on (dd.MM.yyyy HH:mm:ss) | 16.01.2007 18:08:28 |
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Disclaimer |
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Prior to execution of any security trade, you are advised to consult your authorized financial advisor to verify the accuracy of all information. Neither MyTrendTimer nor anyone is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You can freely redistribute the information found herein as long as this disclaimer is included unmodified. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Some indexes, benchmarks or brand names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners. |
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