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MyTrendTimer Financial Market Trend Timing report

Market Timing / Quantitative Analysis on major indexes.
Signals and News Help/HowTo Principles About
 
October 15th, Bullish Trend (Buy Signal)
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 500
Standard and Poors 100
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
October 15th, Bearish Trend (Sell Signal)
None for now.
 
Older reports
 
October 12th, 2018
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
October 1st, 2018
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
 
Archived reports
 
2005 Archive Page
2006 Archive Page
2007 Archive Page
2008 Archive Page
2009 Archive Page
2010 Archive Page
2011 Archive Page
2012 Archive Page
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2014 Archive Page
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2018 Archive Page
MyTrendTimer : Nasdaq Composite Index of June 4, 2007
Weekly Comment about this asset/index
Global stock markets took an 8 percent slump in Chinese shares in stride to hit fresh peaks on Monday, while the dollar was near an eight-week high versus the euro after Friday's strong U.S. jobs report. U.S. Treasuries remained under pressure after Friday's strong non-farm payrolls data further dampened expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year Better-than-expected first-quarter earnings, a continued run of merger and acquisition deals and still reasonable valuations have helped stocks attract a healthy proportion of the funds still flowing freely into global markets. Since early March, stocks have more or less been on a tear. The Nasdaq composite is at a more than six-year high.
Financial InstrumentValue
Asset NameNasdaq Composite Index
SymbolIXIC
CurrencyUSD
Underlying instrumentNASDAQ 100 Trust Shares (QQQQ)
Trend/SignalValue
Current Trend/Signal Bullish (last signal was a Buy)
Strength2.3
Date (dd.MM.yyyy)04.06.2007
Generated Signals Chart
A  chart of Nasdaq Composite Index IXIC dated June 4, 2007 to backtest the trend timer model buy and sell signals
Generated Signals
NatureDate (dd.MM.yyyy)# Days previous op.QuoteResult previous op.
Buy03.12.20010001'904.90+0.00
Sell13.02.20020721'859.16-2.40
Buy22.11.20022821'468.74-21.00
Sell03.02.20030731'323.79-9.87
Buy03.04.20030581'396.58+5.50
Sell06.05.20043991'937.74+38.75
Buy24.06.20040492'015.57+4.02
Sell09.07.20040151'946.33-3.44
Buy20.10.20041031'932.97-0.69
Sell21.03.20051522'007.51+3.86
Buy01.06.20050712'087.86+4.00
Sell14.10.20051352'064.83-1.10
Buy04.11.20050212'169.43+5.07
Sell22.05.20061982'172.86+0.16
Buy15.09.20061162'235.59+2.89
Info : Current01.06.20072592'613.92+16.92
Return and result of the differents strategies
Time Weighted Return ofValue (over the Period)
Buy and Hold-36.73
Model Buy and Hold+37.22
Model Long Only+41.76
Model Short Only+3.21
Model Long and Short+46.31
Time Weighted Return ofValue (Annualized)
Buy and Hold-6.60
Model Buy and Hold+6.69
Model Long Only+7.51
Model Short Only+0.58
Model Long and Short+8.32
Model OverPerf vs Model Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Model Buy and Hold+0.82
Model Short vs Model Buy and Hold-6.11
Model Long and Short vs Model Buy and Hold+1.63
Model OverPerf vs Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Buy and Hold+14.11
Model Short vs Buy and Hold+7.18
Model Long and Short vs Buy and Hold+14.92
Various statistical indicators for this asset
Last 20 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote2'566.27
Standard Deviation22.99
Lowest quote2'525.29
Highest quote2'613.92
Median2'569.60
Max Daily Loose percent-1.65
Max Daily Gain percent1.12
Simple Perf.1.89
Last 5 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote2'579.70
Standard Deviation29.20
Lowest quote2'537.92
Highest quote2'613.92
Median2'575.92
Max Daily Loose percent0.00
Max Daily Gain percent0.80
Simple Perf.2.99
Previous year StatisticsValue
Mean quote2'262.58
Standard Deviation111.32
Lowest quote2'020.39
Highest quote2'465.98
Median2'243.19
Max Daily Loose percent-2.35
Max Daily Gain percent2.96
Simple Perf.9.52
First quote2'205.32
Last quote2'415.29
Current year StatisticsValue
Mean quote2'480.12
Standard Deviation63.56
Lowest quote2'340.68
Highest quote2'613.92
Median2'477.30
Max Daily Loose percent-3.86
Max Daily Gain percent1.98
Simple Perf.8.22
First quote2'415.29
Last quote2'613.92
Seasonal Return by Month for this asset
MonthCumulated TWR Return.#MonthAverage TWR Return
January+9.498+1.19
February-20.488-2.56
March-12.448-1.55
April-7.108-0.89
May-0.908-0.11
June+12.357+1.76
July-18.477-2.64
August+2.897+0.41
September-31.957-4.56
October+36.477+5.21
November+14.137+2.02
December-9.757-1.39
TWR Return by Year for this asset
YearTWR Return.
2000-40.20
2001-21.05
2002-31.53
2003+50.01
2004+8.59
2005+1.37
2006+9.52
2007+8.22
Year 2004 to 2005 Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2004+3.13
February2004-1.76
March2004-1.75
April2004-3.71
May2004+3.47
June2004+3.07
July2004-7.83
August2004-2.61
September2004+3.20
October2004+4.12
November2004+6.17
December2004+3.75
January2005-5.20
February2005-0.52
March2005-2.56
April2005-3.88
May2005+7.63
June2005-0.54
July2005+6.22
August2005-1.50
September2005-0.02
October2005-1.46
November2005+5.31
December2005-1.23
Year 2006 to 200n Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2006+4.56
February2006-1.06
March2006+2.56
April2006-0.74
May2006-6.19
June2006-0.31
July2006-3.71
August2006+4.41
September2006+3.42
October2006+4.79
November2006+2.75
December2006-0.68
January2007+2.01
February2007-1.94
March2007+0.23
April2007+4.27
May2007+3.52
Quotes UsedValue
Quote File Used/local/java/TrendTimer/data/NASDAQ_20070604.csv
# of Quotes1848
File first date (dd.MM.yyyy)03.01.2000
File first quote4'131.15
File last date (dd.MM.yyyy)01.06.2007
File last quote2'613.92
First data considered (dd.MM.yyyy)16.05.2000
First data considered3'717.57
Min. Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)09.10.2002
Min. Quote value1'114.11
Max Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)10.03.2000
Max Quote value5'048.62
Max daily drop date (dd.MM.yyyy)14.04.2000
Max Daily Drop percent-9.67
Max daily gain date (dd.MM.yyyy)03.01.2001
Max daily Gain percent14.17
Signals StatisticsValue
# Generated Signals15
Avg # op. by year2.70
# Days2003
# Days in years5.56
Biggest loose (Long only)-9.87
Min # days uninvested (before Buy Signal)21
Max # days uninvested (before Buy Signal)282
Min # days invested (before Sell Signal)15
Max # days invested (before Sell Signal)399
TechnicalValue
Program NameMyTrendTimer v0.99.94
Java Version1.6.0
OS NameLinux
OS Version2.6.20-1.2948.fc6
User Namemarc
Calculation Time (Ms)1459
Tech Id557326575-130930
XML output fileNASDAQ_20070604.xml
Web Roothttp://www.myTrendTimer.com/
Complete Xml URLhttp://www.myTrendTimer.com/xml/NASDAQ_20070604.xml
# Warnings found0
Generated on (dd.MM.yyyy HH:mm:ss)04.06.2007 17:44:58
Disclaimer
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Prior to execution of any security trade, you are advised to consult your authorized financial advisor to verify the accuracy of all information. Neither MyTrendTimer nor anyone is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You can freely redistribute the information found herein as long as this disclaimer is included unmodified. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Some indexes, benchmarks or brand names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners.
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