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MyTrendTimer Financial Market Trend Timing report

Market Timing / Quantitative Analysis on major indexes.
Signals and News Help/HowTo Principles About
 
October 12th, Bullish Trend (Buy Signal)
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 500
Standard and Poors 100
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
October 12th, Bearish Trend (Sell Signal)
None for now.
 
Older reports
 
October 1st, 2018
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
September 17th, 2018
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
 
Archived reports
 
2005 Archive Page
2006 Archive Page
2007 Archive Page
2008 Archive Page
2009 Archive Page
2010 Archive Page
2011 Archive Page
2012 Archive Page
2013 Archive Page
2014 Archive Page
2015 Archive Page
2016 Archive Page
2017 Archive Page
2018 Archive Page
MyTrendTimer : Standard and Poors 100 of March 2, 2007
Weekly Comment about this asset/index
Wobbly global stock markets prompted investors to reduce their positions in commodities, including gold, which fell below $660 an ounce, while oil eased from $62, the highest close since December 22. Signal strength dicreased sharply but current signal is still "buy", at least for now.
Financial InstrumentValue
Instrument NameStandard and Poors 100
SymbolOEX
CurrencyUSD
Underlying instrumentiShares SP 100 Index (OEF)
Trend/SignalValue
Current Trend/Signal Bullish (last signal was a Buy)
Strength1.5
Date (dd.MM.yyyy)02.03.2007
Generated Signals Chart
A chart of Standard and Poors 100 OEX dated March 2, 2007 to backtest the trend timer model buy and sell signals
Generated Signals
NatureDate (dd.MM.yyyy)# Days previous op.QuoteResult previous op.
Buy30.04.2003000465.53+0.00
Sell19.07.2004446536.29+15.20
Buy10.11.2004114555.54+3.59
Sell21.04.2005161554.67-0.16
Buy03.06.2005043565.30+1.92
Sell05.10.2005124556.70-1.52
Buy23.11.2005049582.01+4.55
Sell14.06.2006202563.94-3.10
Buy08.08.2006055586.13+3.93
Info : Current01.03.2007205642.05+9.54
Return and result of the differents strategies
Time Weighted Return ofValue (over the Period)
Buy and Hold-18.60
Model Buy and Hold+37.92
Model Long Only+20.22
Model Short Only-14.72
Model Long and Short+2.53
Time Weighted Return ofValue (Annualized)
Buy and Hold-4.79
Model Buy and Hold+9.76
Model Long Only+5.20
Model Short Only-3.79
Model Long and Short+0.65
Model OverPerf vs Model Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Model Buy and Hold-4.55
Model Short vs Model Buy and Hold-13.54
Model Long and Short vs Model Buy and Hold-9.11
Model OverPerf vs Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Buy and Hold+9.99
Model Short vs Buy and Hold+1.00
Model Long and Short vs Buy and Hold+5.44
Various statistical indicators for this asset
Last 20 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote663.64
Variance89.90
Standard Deviation9.48
Lowest quote639.71
Highest quote670.21
Median654.96
Max Daily Loose percent-3.57
Max Daily Gain percent0.73
Simple Perf.-3.71
Last 5 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote653.35
Variance162.54
Standard Deviation12.75
Lowest quote639.71
Highest quote667.22
Median653.46
Max Daily Loose percent-3.57
Max Daily Gain percent0.63
Simple Perf.-3.77
Previous year StatisticsValue
Mean quote601.37
Variance770.09
Standard Deviation27.75
Lowest quote560.70
Highest quote664.42
Median612.56
Max Daily Loose percent-1.89
Max Daily Gain percent1.98
Simple Perf.15.86
First quote570.00
Last quote660.41
Current year StatisticsValue
Mean quote662.91
Variance50.45
Standard Deviation7.10
Lowest quote639.71
Highest quote670.21
Median654.96
Max Daily Loose percent-3.57
Max Daily Gain percent0.88
Simple Perf.-2.78
First quote660.41
Last quote642.05
Seasonal Return by Month for this asset
MonthCumulated TWR Return.#MonthAverage TWR Return
January-2.608-0.33
February-16.248-2.03
March+3.287+0.47
April+1.127+0.16
May+1.097+0.16
June-4.517-0.64
July-5.947-0.85
August+0.337+0.05
September-23.807-3.40
October+19.637+2.80
November+14.407+2.06
December+0.567+0.08
TWR Return by Year for this asset
YearTWR Return.
2000-12.97
2001-14.88
2002-23.88
2003+23.84
2004+4.45
2005-0.92
2006+15.86
2007-2.78
Year 2004 to 2005 Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2004+1.73
February2004+0.75
March2004-2.38
April2004-1.86
May2004+0.79
June2004+1.60
July2004-2.92
August2004+0.20
September2004-0.73
October2004+1.08
November2004+3.11
December2004+3.20
January2005-1.81
February2005+1.69
March2005-2.18
April2005-1.62
May2005+2.15
June2005-1.16
July2005+2.61
August2005-1.43
September2005+0.42
October2005-1.77
November2005+3.20
December2005-0.79
Year 2006 to 200n Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2006+1.54
February2006+0.35
March2006+1.19
April2006+1.38
May2006-2.47
June2006-0.28
July2006+1.58
August2006+2.26
September2006+2.99
October2006+3.31
November2006+1.42
December2006+1.66
January2007+0.96
February2007-3.71
Quotes UsedValue
Quote File Used/local/java/TrendTimer/data/SP100_20070302.csv
# of Quotes1785
File first date (dd.MM.yyyy)03.01.2000
File first quote788.79
File last date (dd.MM.yyyy)01.03.2007
File last quote642.05
First data considered (dd.MM.yyyy)22.05.2000
First data considered748.04
Min. Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)09.10.2002
Min. Quote value392.69
Max Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)24.03.2000
Max Quote value833.26
Max daily drop date (dd.MM.yyyy)17.09.2001
Max Daily Drop percent-5.28
Max daily gain date (dd.MM.yyyy)24.07.2002
Max daily Gain percent5.86
Signals StatisticsValue
# Generated Signals9
Avg # op. by year2.32
# Days1399
# Days in years3.89
Biggest loose (Long only)-3.10
Min # days uninvested (before Buy Signal)43
Max # days uninvested (before Buy Signal)114
Min # days invested (before Sell Signal)124
Max # days invested (before Sell Signal)446
TechnicalValue
Program NameMyTrendTimer v0.99.90.53
Java Version1.6.0
OS NameLinux
OS Version2.6.18-1.2869.fc6
User Namemarc
Calculation Time (Ms)808
Tech Id109501906-150970
XML output fileSP100_20070302.xml
Web Roothttp://www.myTrendTimer.com/
Complete Xml URLhttp://www.myTrendTimer.com/xml/SP100_20070302.xml
# Warnings found7
Generated on (dd.MM.yyyy HH:mm:ss)02.03.2007 17:23:55
Disclaimer
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Prior to execution of any security trade, you are advised to consult your authorized financial advisor to verify the accuracy of all information. Neither MyTrendTimer nor anyone is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You can freely redistribute the information found herein as long as this disclaimer is included unmodified. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Some indexes, benchmarks or brand names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners.
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