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MyTrendTimer Financial Market Trend Timing report

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September 17th, Bullish Trend (Buy Signal)
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 500
Standard and Poors 100
Swiss Market Index SMI
September 17th, Bearish Trend (Sell Signal)
USD to CHF
 
Older reports
 
September 3rd, 2018
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
August 14th, 2018
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
 
Archived reports
 
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2006 Archive Page
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MyTrendTimer : U.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc of October 24, 2006
Weekly Comment about this asset/index
Oil hovered below $59 a barrel on Tuesday as traders waited for evidence that other OPEC members would follow Saudi Arabia's lead in cutting output and looked ahead to a potentially chilly start to winter. But investors remain nervous as to whether the economy can handle a cooling period without slipping into recession, as well as about the ever-present threat of inflation. The Federal Reserve also is set to meet this week, which could make investors jittery. Central bank policymakers are widely expected to hold interest rates steady at 5.25 percent when they meet Tuesday and Wednesday.
Financial InstrumentValue
Instrument NameU.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc
SymbolUSDCHF=X
CurrencyCHF
Underlying instrumentSpot or term Forex Market
Trend/SignalValue
Current Trend/Signal Bullish (last signal was a Buy)
Strenght0.8
Date (dd.MM.yyyy)24.10.2006
Generated Operations Chart
A chart image to backtest the model buy and sell signals
Generated Operations
NatureDate (dd.MM.yyyy)# Days previous op.QuoteResult previous op.
Buy22.03.20010001.73070+0.00
Sell02.08.20011321.71140-1.12
Buy24.01.20021751.67500-2.13
Sell25.03.20020601.66550-0.57
Buy28.03.20020031.68180+0.98
Sell01.04.20020031.66260-1.14
Buy15.07.20034701.37910-17.05
Sell30.09.20030771.32060-4.24
Buy06.04.20041891.29745-1.75
Sell28.05.20040521.25440-3.32
Buy31.08.20040951.26805+1.09
Sell30.09.20040301.24870-1.53
Buy09.02.20051321.21770-2.48
Sell22.02.20050131.16335-4.46
Buy06.04.20050421.20735+3.78
Sell19.01.20062881.28145+6.14
Buy09.02.20060211.30240+1.63
Sell19.04.20060681.27120-2.40
Buy21.09.20061551.25120-1.57
Sell22.09.20060011.23455-1.33
Buy28.09.20060061.24825+1.11
Out23.10.20060251.26740+1.53
Return and result of the differents strategies
Time Weighted Return ofValue (over the Period)
Buy and Hold-20.46
Model Buy and Hold-26.77
Model Long Only-12.13
Model Short Only+16.66
Model Long and Short+2.50
Time Weighted Return ofValue (Annualized)
Buy and Hold-3.62
Model Buy and Hold-4.73
Model Long Only-2.14
Model Short Only+2.94
Model Long and Short+0.44
Model OverPerf vs Model Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Model Buy and Hold+2.59
Model Short vs Model Buy and Hold+7.67
Model Long and Short vs Model Buy and Hold+5.17
Model OverPerf vs Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Buy and Hold+1.47
Model Short vs Buy and Hold+6.56
Model Long and Short vs Buy and Hold+4.06
Various statistical indicators for this asset
Last 20 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.25852
Variance0.00013
Standard Deviation0.01160
Lowest quote1.23825
Highest quote1.27545
Median1.25685
Max Daily Loose percent-0.92508
Max Daily Gain percent0.66239
Simple Perf.2.35413
Last 5 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.26675
Variance0.00003
Standard Deviation0.00501
Lowest quote1.25995
Highest quote1.27215
Median1.26605
Max Daily Loose percent-0.80965
Max Daily Gain percent0.59129
Simple Perf.-0.34596
Previous year StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.24681
Variance0.00263
Standard Deviation0.05126
Lowest quote1.13710
Highest quote1.32670
Median1.23190
Max Daily Loose percent-1.60084
Max Daily Gain percent1.68639
Simple Perf.15.90450
First quote1.13710
Last quote1.31795
Current year StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.25984
Variance0.00104
Standard Deviation0.03229
Lowest quote1.20285
Highest quote1.32050
Median1.26168
Max Daily Loose percent-1.96901
Max Daily Gain percent1.10434
Simple Perf.-3.83549
First quote1.31795
Last quote1.26740
Seasonal Return by Month for this asset
MonthCumulated TWR Return.#MonthAverage TWR Return
January+10.597+1.51
February+2.027+0.29
March+4.597+0.66
April-2.857-0.41
May-7.017-1.00
June-0.517-0.07
July+1.987+0.28
August+0.957+0.14
September-7.917-1.13
October+3.527+0.50
November-9.216-1.53
December-15.836-2.64
TWR Return by Year for this asset
YearTWR Return.
2000+1.69
2001+2.46
2002-16.72
2003-10.56
2004-8.06
2005+15.90
2006-3.84
Year 2000 to 2003 Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2000+3.23
February2000+0.91
March2000+0.42
April2000+3.24
May2000-2.03
June2000-2.97
July2000+2.08
August2000+4.07
September2000+0.12
October2000+3.85
November2000-4.04
December2000-6.55
January2001+1.45
February2001+1.88
March2001+3.53
April2001+0.05
May2001+3.41
June2001+0.20
July2001-3.90
August2001-3.38
September2001-3.15
October2001+1.01
November2001+0.85
December2001+0.82
January2002+3.11
February2002-0.44
March2002-1.33
April2002-3.67
May2002-3.29
June2002-5.01
July2002-0.43
August2002+1.27
September2002-1.83
October2002+0.20
November2002+0.49
December2002-6.79
January2003-1.09
February2003-0.85
March2003-0.34
April2003+0.36
May2003-3.97
June2003+4.00
July2003+1.36
August2003+2.01
September2003-5.71
October2003+1.12
November2003-3.19
December2003-4.33
Year 2004 to 200n Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2004+1.91
February2004+0.77
March2004-0.25
April2004+2.35
May2004-3.25
June2004-0.16
July2004+2.15
August2004-0.88
September2004-1.53
October2004-3.78
November2004-5.29
December2004-0.07
January2005+4.52
February2005-2.57
March2005+2.93
April2005-0.12
May2005+4.58
June2005+2.90
July2005+0.32
August2005-2.08
September2005+2.45
October2005+0.14
November2005+1.82
December2005+0.25
January2006-2.80
February2006+2.38
March2006-0.37
April2006-4.83
May2006-2.31
June2006+0.82
July2006+0.52
August2006+0.13
September2006+1.70
October2006+1.07
Quotes UsedValue
Quote File UsedUSDCHF_20061024.csv
# of Quotes1738
File first date (dd.MM.yyyy)03.01.2000
File first quote1.59350
File last date (dd.MM.yyyy)23.10.2006
File last quote1.26740
First data considered (dd.MM.yyyy)18.05.2000
First data considered1.73500
Min. Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)30.12.2004
Min. Quote value1.13335
Max Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)26.10.2000
Max Quote value1.82000
Max daily drop date (dd.MM.yyyy)22.09.2000
Max Daily Drop percent-3.31834
Max daily gain date (dd.MM.yyyy)15.02.2001
Max daily Gain percent2.61980
Operations StatisticsValue
# Generated operations22
Avg # op. by year3.89
# Days2037
# Days in years5.66
Biggest loose (Long only)-4.46
TechnicalValue
Program NameMyTrendTimer v0.99.84.02
Java Version1.5.0_09
OS NameLinux
OS Version2.6.18-1.2200.fc5
Calculation Time (Ms)1913
Tech Id498819485-123960
XML output fileUSDCHF_20061024.xml
Web Roothttp://www.myTrendTimer.com/
Complete Xml URLhttp://www.myTrendTimer.com/xml/USDCHF_20061024.xml
# Warnings found0
Generated on (dd.MM.yyyy HH:mm:ss)24.10.2006 18:31:34
Disclaimer
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Prior to execution of any security trade, you are advised to consult your authorized financial advisor to verify the accuracy of all information. Neither MyTrendTimer nor anyone is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You can freely redistribute the information found herein as long as this disclaimer is included unmodified. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Some indexes, benchmarks or brand names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners.
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