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MyTrendTimer Financial Market Trend Timing report

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July 9th, Bullish Trend (Buy Signal)
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 500
USD to CHF
Standard and Poors 100
July 9th, Bearish Trend (Sell Signal)
Swiss Market Index SMI
 
Older reports
 
July 2nd, 2018
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
June 22nd, 2018
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
 
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MyTrendTimer : U.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc of November 7, 2006
Weekly Comment about this asset/index
Historically, the U.S. mid-term elections have been bullish for the stock market, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. But politically sensitive stocks could experience some volatility on Tuesday, when U.S. voters go to the polls, and on Wednesday as traders digest election results. Many analysts and insiders of both major U.S. parties have been forecasting that the Republicans may lose control of the House of Representatives and they believe the Senate will be a close contest. A Democrat victory in the U.S. mid-term elections, would probably not be very positive for the dollar. Wait and see.
Financial InstrumentValue
Instrument NameU.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc
SymbolUSDCHF=X
CurrencyCHF
Underlying instrumentSpot or term Forex Market
Trend/SignalValue
Current Trend/Signal Bullish (last signal was a Buy)
Strenght0.4
Date (dd.MM.yyyy)07.11.2006
Generated Operations Chart
A chart image to backtest the model buy and sell signals
Generated Operations
NatureDate (dd.MM.yyyy)# Days previous op.QuoteResult previous op.
Buy22.03.20010001.73070+0.00
Sell02.08.20011321.71140-1.12
Buy24.01.20021751.67500-2.13
Sell25.03.20020601.66550-0.57
Buy28.03.20020031.68180+0.98
Sell01.04.20020031.66260-1.14
Buy15.07.20034701.37910-17.05
Sell30.09.20030771.32060-4.24
Buy06.04.20041891.29745-1.75
Sell28.05.20040521.25440-3.32
Buy31.08.20040951.26805+1.09
Sell30.09.20040301.24870-1.53
Buy09.02.20051321.21770-2.48
Sell22.02.20050131.16335-4.46
Buy06.04.20050421.20735+3.78
Sell19.01.20062881.28145+6.14
Buy09.02.20060211.30240+1.63
Sell19.04.20060681.27120-2.40
Buy21.09.20061551.25120-1.57
Sell22.09.20060011.23455-1.33
Buy28.09.20060061.24825+1.11
Out06.11.20060391.25695+0.70
Return and result of the differents strategies
Time Weighted Return ofValue (over the Period)
Buy and Hold-21.12
Model Buy and Hold-27.37
Model Long Only-12.86
Model Short Only+16.66
Model Long and Short+1.66
Time Weighted Return ofValue (Annualized)
Buy and Hold-3.71
Model Buy and Hold-4.80
Model Long Only-2.26
Model Short Only+2.92
Model Long and Short+0.29
Model OverPerf vs Model Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Model Buy and Hold+2.55
Model Short vs Model Buy and Hold+7.73
Model Long and Short vs Model Buy and Hold+5.10
Model OverPerf vs Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Buy and Hold+1.45
Model Short vs Buy and Hold+6.63
Model Long and Short vs Buy and Hold+4.00
Various statistical indicators for this asset
Last 20 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.26102
Variance0.00010
Standard Deviation0.01013
Lowest quote1.24300
Highest quote1.27545
Median1.25923
Max Daily Loose percent-0.80965
Max Daily Gain percent0.80723
Simple Perf.-0.34884
Last 5 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.24882
Variance0.00004
Standard Deviation0.00597
Lowest quote1.24300
Highest quote1.25695
Median1.24997
Max Daily Loose percent-0.41631
Max Daily Gain percent0.80723
Simple Perf.0.63248
Previous year StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.24681
Variance0.00263
Standard Deviation0.05126
Lowest quote1.13710
Highest quote1.32670
Median1.23190
Max Daily Loose percent-1.60084
Max Daily Gain percent1.68639
Simple Perf.15.90450
First quote1.13710
Last quote1.31795
Current year StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.25955
Variance0.00100
Standard Deviation0.03161
Lowest quote1.20285
Highest quote1.32050
Median1.26168
Max Daily Loose percent-1.96901
Max Daily Gain percent1.10434
Simple Perf.-4.62840
First quote1.31795
Last quote1.25695
Seasonal Return by Month for this asset
MonthCumulated TWR Return.#MonthAverage TWR Return
January+10.597+1.51
February+2.027+0.29
March+4.597+0.66
April-2.857-0.41
May-7.017-1.00
June-0.517-0.07
July+1.987+0.28
August+0.957+0.14
September-7.917-1.13
October+1.597+0.23
November-8.257-1.18
December-15.836-2.64
TWR Return by Year for this asset
YearTWR Return.
2000+1.69
2001+2.46
2002-16.72
2003-10.56
2004-8.06
2005+15.90
2006-4.63
Year 2000 to 2003 Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2000+3.23
February2000+0.91
March2000+0.42
April2000+3.24
May2000-2.03
June2000-2.97
July2000+2.08
August2000+4.07
September2000+0.12
October2000+3.85
November2000-4.04
December2000-6.55
January2001+1.45
February2001+1.88
March2001+3.53
April2001+0.05
May2001+3.41
June2001+0.20
July2001-3.90
August2001-3.38
September2001-3.15
October2001+1.01
November2001+0.85
December2001+0.82
January2002+3.11
February2002-0.44
March2002-1.33
April2002-3.67
May2002-3.29
June2002-5.01
July2002-0.43
August2002+1.27
September2002-1.83
October2002+0.20
November2002+0.49
December2002-6.79
January2003-1.09
February2003-0.85
March2003-0.34
April2003+0.36
May2003-3.97
June2003+4.00
July2003+1.36
August2003+2.01
September2003-5.71
October2003+1.12
November2003-3.19
December2003-4.33
Year 2004 to 200n Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2004+1.91
February2004+0.77
March2004-0.25
April2004+2.35
May2004-3.25
June2004-0.16
July2004+2.15
August2004-0.88
September2004-1.53
October2004-3.78
November2004-5.29
December2004-0.07
January2005+4.52
February2005-2.57
March2005+2.93
April2005-0.12
May2005+4.58
June2005+2.90
July2005+0.32
August2005-2.08
September2005+2.45
October2005+0.14
November2005+1.82
December2005+0.25
January2006-2.80
February2006+2.38
March2006-0.37
April2006-4.83
May2006-2.31
June2006+0.82
July2006+0.52
August2006+0.13
September2006+1.70
October2006-0.81
November2006+1.05
Quotes UsedValue
Quote File UsedUSDCHF_20061107.csv
# of Quotes1748
File first date (dd.MM.yyyy)03.01.2000
File first quote1.59350
File last date (dd.MM.yyyy)06.11.2006
File last quote1.25695
First data considered (dd.MM.yyyy)18.05.2000
First data considered1.73500
Min. Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)30.12.2004
Min. Quote value1.13335
Max Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)26.10.2000
Max Quote value1.82000
Max daily drop date (dd.MM.yyyy)22.09.2000
Max Daily Drop percent-3.31834
Max daily gain date (dd.MM.yyyy)15.02.2001
Max daily Gain percent2.61980
Operations StatisticsValue
# Generated operations22
Avg # op. by year3.86
# Days2051
# Days in years5.70
Biggest loose (Long only)-4.46
TechnicalValue
Program NameMyTrendTimer v0.99.84.02
Java Version1.5.0_09
OS NameLinux
OS Version2.6.18-1.2200.fc5
Calculation Time (Ms)2821
Tech Id308993860-123960
XML output fileUSDCHF_20061107.xml
Web Roothttp://www.myTrendTimer.com/
Complete Xml URLhttp://www.myTrendTimer.com/xml/USDCHF_20061107.xml
# Warnings found0
Generated on (dd.MM.yyyy HH:mm:ss)07.11.2006 18:12:04
Disclaimer
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Prior to execution of any security trade, you are advised to consult your authorized financial advisor to verify the accuracy of all information. Neither MyTrendTimer nor anyone is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You can freely redistribute the information found herein as long as this disclaimer is included unmodified. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Some indexes, benchmarks or brand names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners.
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