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MyTrendTimer Financial Market Trend Timing report

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November 19th, Bullish Trend (Buy Signal)
Swiss Market Index SMI
Dow Jones Industrial
USD to CHF
November 19th, Bearish Trend (Sell Signal)
NASDAQ Composite
Standard and Poors 500
Standard and Poors 100
 
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November 12th, 2018
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
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NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
 
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MyTrendTimer : U.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc of November 28, 2006
Weekly Comment about this asset/index
Friday saw a fall in the dollar to nearly two-year lows on signs that the European Central Bank would likely continue to raise interest rates next year. Oil stood above $60 on Tuesday after forecasts of a cold spell in the U.S. Northeast buoyed heating oil, and as a weaker dollar and a Saudi warning of possible new output curbs bolstered the market. The pace of existing home sales rose modestly in October hitting a 6.24 million-unit annual rate, according to a report form the National Association of Realtors on Tuesday that marked an unexpected rise from economists' expectations. Consumer confidence fell in November as Americans grew more pessimistic about the job market, a survey showed on Tuesday. The Conference Board said its index of consumer sentiment fell to 102.9 in November from 105.1 in October. A sell signal was issued on USD to CHF (sell price is 1.24115, -0.57%), Current signal is now -0.6
Financial InstrumentValue
Instrument NameU.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc
SymbolUSDCHF=X
CurrencyCHF
Underlying instrumentSpot or term Forex Market
Trend/SignalValue
Current Trend/Signal Bearish (last signal was a Sell)
Strenght-0.6
Date (dd.MM.yyyy)28.11.2006
Generated Operations Chart
A chart of U.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc USDCHF=X dated November 28, 2006 to backtest the trend timer model buy and sell signals
Generated Operations
NatureDate (dd.MM.yyyy)# Days previous op.QuoteResult previous op.
Buy22.03.20010001.73070+0.00
Sell02.08.20011321.71140-1.12
Buy24.01.20021751.67500-2.13
Sell25.03.20020601.66550-0.57
Buy28.03.20020031.68180+0.98
Sell01.04.20020031.66260-1.14
Buy15.07.20034701.37910-17.05
Sell30.09.20030771.32060-4.24
Buy06.04.20041891.29745-1.75
Sell28.05.20040521.25440-3.32
Buy31.08.20040951.26805+1.09
Sell30.09.20040301.24870-1.53
Buy09.02.20051321.21770-2.48
Sell22.02.20050131.16335-4.46
Buy06.04.20050421.20735+3.78
Sell19.01.20062881.28145+6.14
Buy09.02.20060211.30240+1.63
Sell19.04.20060681.27120-2.40
Buy21.09.20061551.25120-1.57
Sell22.09.20060011.23455-1.33
Buy28.09.20060061.24825+1.11
Sell21.11.20060541.24115-0.57
Return and result of the differents strategies
Time Weighted Return ofValue (over the Period)
Buy and Hold-24.17
Model Buy and Hold-30.18
Model Long Only-13.95
Model Short Only+16.66
Model Long and Short+0.38
Time Weighted Return ofValue (Annualized)
Buy and Hold-4.21
Model Buy and Hold-5.26
Model Long Only-2.43
Model Short Only+2.90
Model Long and Short+0.07
Model OverPerf vs Model Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Model Buy and Hold+2.83
Model Short vs Model Buy and Hold+8.16
Model Long and Short vs Model Buy and Hold+5.32
Model OverPerf vs Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Buy and Hold+1.78
Model Short vs Buy and Hold+7.11
Model Long and Short vs Buy and Hold+4.28
Various statistical indicators for this asset
Last 20 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.24083
Variance0.00017
Standard Deviation0.01291
Lowest quote1.20840
Highest quote1.25695
Median1.23268
Max Daily Loose percent-1.09940
Max Daily Gain percent0.80723
Simple Perf.-3.25447
Last 5 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.22562
Variance0.00022
Standard Deviation0.01470
Lowest quote1.20840
Highest quote1.24250
Median1.22545
Max Daily Loose percent-1.09940
Max Daily Gain percent0.00000
Simple Perf.-2.74446
Previous year StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.24681
Variance0.00263
Standard Deviation0.05126
Lowest quote1.13710
Highest quote1.32670
Median1.23190
Max Daily Loose percent-1.60084
Max Daily Gain percent1.68639
Simple Perf.15.90450
First quote1.13710
Last quote1.31795
Current year StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.25812
Variance0.00097
Standard Deviation0.03122
Lowest quote1.20285
Highest quote1.32050
Median1.26168
Max Daily Loose percent-1.96901
Max Daily Gain percent1.10434
Simple Perf.-8.31215
First quote1.31795
Last quote1.20840
Seasonal Return by Month for this asset
MonthCumulated TWR Return.#MonthAverage TWR Return
January+10.597+1.51
February+2.027+0.29
March+4.597+0.66
April-2.857-0.41
May-7.017-1.00
June-0.517-0.07
July+1.987+0.28
August+0.957+0.14
September-7.917-1.13
October+1.597+0.23
November-11.797-1.68
December-15.836-2.64
TWR Return by Year for this asset
YearTWR Return.
2000+1.69
2001+2.46
2002-16.72
2003-10.56
2004-8.06
2005+15.90
2006-8.31
Year 2000 to 2003 Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2000+3.23
February2000+0.91
March2000+0.42
April2000+3.24
May2000-2.03
June2000-2.97
July2000+2.08
August2000+4.07
September2000+0.12
October2000+3.85
November2000-4.04
December2000-6.55
January2001+1.45
February2001+1.88
March2001+3.53
April2001+0.05
May2001+3.41
June2001+0.20
July2001-3.90
August2001-3.38
September2001-3.15
October2001+1.01
November2001+0.85
December2001+0.82
January2002+3.11
February2002-0.44
March2002-1.33
April2002-3.67
May2002-3.29
June2002-5.01
July2002-0.43
August2002+1.27
September2002-1.83
October2002+0.20
November2002+0.49
December2002-6.79
January2003-1.09
February2003-0.85
March2003-0.34
April2003+0.36
May2003-3.97
June2003+4.00
July2003+1.36
August2003+2.01
September2003-5.71
October2003+1.12
November2003-3.19
December2003-4.33
Year 2004 to 200n Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2004+1.91
February2004+0.77
March2004-0.25
April2004+2.35
May2004-3.25
June2004-0.16
July2004+2.15
August2004-0.88
September2004-1.53
October2004-3.78
November2004-5.29
December2004-0.07
January2005+4.52
February2005-2.57
March2005+2.93
April2005-0.12
May2005+4.58
June2005+2.90
July2005+0.32
August2005-2.08
September2005+2.45
October2005+0.14
November2005+1.82
December2005+0.25
January2006-2.80
February2006+2.38
March2006-0.37
April2006-4.83
May2006-2.31
June2006+0.82
July2006+0.52
August2006+0.13
September2006+1.70
October2006-0.81
November2006-2.85
Quotes UsedValue
Quote File UsedUSDCHF_20061128.csv
# of Quotes1763
File first date (dd.MM.yyyy)03.01.2000
File first quote1.59350
File last date (dd.MM.yyyy)27.11.2006
File last quote1.20840
First data considered (dd.MM.yyyy)18.05.2000
First data considered1.73500
Min. Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)30.12.2004
Min. Quote value1.13335
Max Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)26.10.2000
Max Quote value1.82000
Max daily drop date (dd.MM.yyyy)22.09.2000
Max Daily Drop percent-3.31834
Max daily gain date (dd.MM.yyyy)15.02.2001
Max daily Gain percent2.61980
Operations StatisticsValue
# Generated operations22
Avg # op. by year3.83
# Days2066
# Days in years5.74
Biggest loose (Long only)-4.46
Min # days uninvested (before Buy operation)3
Max # days uninvested (before Buy operation)470
Min # days invested (before Sell operation)1
Max # days invested (before Sell operation)288
TechnicalValue
Program NameMyTrendTimer v0.99.86.27
Java Version1.5.0_09
OS NameLinux
OS Version2.6.18-1.2849.fc6
User Nameroot
Calculation Time (Ms)2095
Tech Id442433147-123960
XML output fileUSDCHF_20061128.xml
Web Roothttp://www.myTrendTimer.com/
Complete Xml URLhttp://www.myTrendTimer.com/xml/USDCHF_20061128.xml
# Warnings found0
Generated on (dd.MM.yyyy HH:mm:ss)28.11.2006 19:35:49
Disclaimer
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Prior to execution of any security trade, you are advised to consult your authorized financial advisor to verify the accuracy of all information. Neither MyTrendTimer nor anyone is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You can freely redistribute the information found herein as long as this disclaimer is included unmodified. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Some indexes, benchmarks or brand names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners.
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