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MyTrendTimer Financial Market Trend Timing report

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October 15th, Bullish Trend (Buy Signal)
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 500
Standard and Poors 100
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
October 15th, Bearish Trend (Sell Signal)
None for now.
 
Older reports
 
October 12th, 2018
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
October 1st, 2018
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
 
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MyTrendTimer : U.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc of January 16, 2007
Weekly Comment about this asset/index
Publication of the MyTrendTimer Report was late due to holidays. Strong U.S. and Japanese economic data helped Asian stock indexes to gains of 1 percent and more on Monday, and sent Japanese government bonds to a 2 1/2 month low as investors eyed a possible Bank of Japan rate rise. The dollar rebounded from its lowest level. Be carefull...
Financial InstrumentValue
Instrument NameU.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc
SymbolUSDCHF=X
CurrencyCHF
Underlying instrumentSpot or term Forex Market
Trend/SignalValue
Current Trend/Signal Bearish (last signal was a Sell)
Strenght-0.3
Date (dd.MM.yyyy)16.01.2007
Generated Operations Chart
A chart of U.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc USDCHF=X dated January 16, 2007 to backtest the trend timer model buy and sell signals
Generated Operations
NatureDate (dd.MM.yyyy)# Days previous op.QuoteResult previous op.
Buy22.03.20010001.73070+0.00
Sell02.08.20011321.71140-1.12
Buy24.01.20021751.67500-2.13
Sell25.03.20020601.66550-0.57
Buy28.03.20020031.68180+0.98
Sell01.04.20020031.66260-1.14
Buy15.07.20034701.37910-17.05
Sell30.09.20030771.32060-4.24
Buy06.04.20041891.29745-1.75
Sell28.05.20040521.25440-3.32
Buy31.08.20040951.26805+1.09
Sell30.09.20040301.24870-1.53
Buy09.02.20051321.21770-2.48
Sell22.02.20050131.16335-4.46
Buy06.04.20050421.20735+3.78
Sell19.01.20062881.28145+6.14
Buy09.02.20060211.30240+1.63
Sell19.04.20060681.27120-2.40
Buy21.09.20061551.25120-1.57
Sell22.09.20060011.23455-1.33
Buy28.09.20060061.24825+1.11
Sell21.11.20060541.24115-0.57
Return and result of the differents strategies
Time Weighted Return ofValue (over the Period)
Buy and Hold-21.71
Model Buy and Hold-27.91
Model Long Only-13.95
Model Short Only+16.66
Model Long and Short+0.38
Time Weighted Return ofValue (Annualized)
Buy and Hold-3.78
Model Buy and Hold-4.86
Model Long Only-2.43
Model Short Only+2.90
Model Long and Short+0.07
Model OverPerf vs Model Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Model Buy and Hold+2.43
Model Short vs Model Buy and Hold+7.77
Model Long and Short vs Model Buy and Hold+4.93
Model OverPerf vs Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Buy and Hold+1.35
Model Short vs Buy and Hold+6.68
Model Long and Short vs Buy and Hold+3.85
Various statistical indicators for this asset
Last 20 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.22696
Variance0.00019
Standard Deviation0.01389
Lowest quote1.20245
Highest quote1.24955
Median1.22600
Max Daily Loose percent-0.63280
Max Daily Gain percent0.67190
Simple Perf.3.75483
Last 5 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.24469
Variance0.00002
Standard Deviation0.00472
Lowest quote1.23700
Highest quote1.24955
Median1.24327
Max Daily Loose percent-0.20407
Max Daily Gain percent0.39483
Simple Perf.0.85691
Previous year StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.25380
Variance0.00110
Standard Deviation0.03314
Lowest quote1.19205
Highest quote1.32050
Median1.25627
Max Daily Loose percent-1.96901
Max Daily Gain percent1.10434
Simple Perf.-7.37888
First quote1.31795
Last quote1.22070
Current year StatisticsValue
Mean quote1.23817
Variance0.00010
Standard Deviation0.01020
Lowest quote1.22070
Highest quote1.24955
Median1.23513
Max Daily Loose percent-0.20407
Max Daily Gain percent0.61343
Simple Perf.2.20364
First quote1.22070
Last quote1.24760
Seasonal Return by Month for this asset
MonthCumulated TWR Return.#MonthAverage TWR Return
January+13.028+1.63
February+2.027+0.29
March+4.597+0.66
April-2.857-0.41
May-7.017-1.00
June-0.517-0.07
July+1.987+0.28
August+0.957+0.14
September-7.917-1.13
October+1.597+0.23
November-12.557-1.79
December-14.247-2.03
TWR Return by Year for this asset
YearTWR Return.
2000+1.69
2001+2.46
2002-16.72
2003-10.56
2004-8.06
2005+15.90
2006-7.38
2007+2.20
Year 2000 to 2003 Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2000+3.23
February2000+0.91
March2000+0.42
April2000+3.24
May2000-2.03
June2000-2.97
July2000+2.08
August2000+4.07
September2000+0.12
October2000+3.85
November2000-4.04
December2000-6.55
January2001+1.45
February2001+1.88
March2001+3.53
April2001+0.05
May2001+3.41
June2001+0.20
July2001-3.90
August2001-3.38
September2001-3.15
October2001+1.01
November2001+0.85
December2001+0.82
January2002+3.11
February2002-0.44
March2002-1.33
April2002-3.67
May2002-3.29
June2002-5.01
July2002-0.43
August2002+1.27
September2002-1.83
October2002+0.20
November2002+0.49
December2002-6.79
January2003-1.09
February2003-0.85
March2003-0.34
April2003+0.36
May2003-3.97
June2003+4.00
July2003+1.36
August2003+2.01
September2003-5.71
October2003+1.12
November2003-3.19
December2003-4.33
Year 2004 to 200n Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2004+1.91
February2004+0.77
March2004-0.25
April2004+2.35
May2004-3.25
June2004-0.16
July2004+2.15
August2004-0.88
September2004-1.53
October2004-3.78
November2004-5.29
December2004-0.07
January2005+4.52
February2005-2.57
March2005+2.93
April2005-0.12
May2005+4.58
June2005+2.90
July2005+0.32
August2005-2.08
September2005+2.45
October2005+0.14
November2005+1.82
December2005+0.25
January2006-2.80
February2006+2.38
March2006-0.37
April2006-4.83
May2006-2.31
June2006+0.82
July2006+0.52
August2006+0.13
September2006+1.70
October2006-0.81
November2006-3.68
December2006+1.89
January2007+2.20
Quotes UsedValue
Quote File Used/local/java/TrendTimer/data/USDCHF_20070116.csv
# of Quotes1794
File first date (dd.MM.yyyy)03.01.2000
File first quote1.59350
File last date (dd.MM.yyyy)15.01.2007
File last quote1.24760
First data considered (dd.MM.yyyy)18.05.2000
First data considered1.73500
Min. Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)30.12.2004
Min. Quote value1.13335
Max Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)26.10.2000
Max Quote value1.82000
Max daily drop date (dd.MM.yyyy)22.09.2000
Max Daily Drop percent-3.31834
Max daily gain date (dd.MM.yyyy)15.02.2001
Max daily Gain percent2.61980
Operations StatisticsValue
# Generated operations22
Avg # op. by year3.83
# Days2066
# Days in years5.74
Biggest loose (Long only)-4.46
Min # days uninvested (before Buy operation)3
Max # days uninvested (before Buy operation)470
Min # days invested (before Sell operation)1
Max # days invested (before Sell operation)288
TechnicalValue
Program NameMyTrendTimer v0.99.88.6
Java Version1.6.0-rc
OS NameLinux
OS Version2.6.19-1.2895.fc6
User Namemarc
Calculation Time (Ms)700
Tech Id451835485-123960
XML output fileUSDCHF_20070116.xml
Web Roothttp://www.myTrendTimer.com/
Complete Xml URLhttp://www.myTrendTimer.com/xml/USDCHF_20070116.xml
# Warnings found0
Generated on (dd.MM.yyyy HH:mm:ss)16.01.2007 18:08:35
Disclaimer
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Prior to execution of any security trade, you are advised to consult your authorized financial advisor to verify the accuracy of all information. Neither MyTrendTimer nor anyone is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You can freely redistribute the information found herein as long as this disclaimer is included unmodified. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Some indexes, benchmarks or brand names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners.
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