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December 10th, Bullish Trend (Buy Signal)
USD to CHF
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NASDAQ Composite
Standard and Poors 500
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Swiss Market Index SMI
 
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Standard and Poors 500
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Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
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USD to CHF
 
 
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MyTrendTimer : U.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc analysis of October 14, 2016
Description of this asset/index
The dollar (currency code USD) is the unit of currency of the United States. The U.S. dollar has also been adopted as the official and legal currency by the governments in a few other countries. The U.S. dollar is normally abbreviated as the dollar sign, $, or as USD or US$ to distinguish it from other dollar-denominated currencies and from others that use the $ symbol. It is divided into 100 cents. The franc (currency code CHF) is the currency and legal tender of Switzerland and Liechtenstein. The Italian exclave Campione d'Italia and the German exclave Büsingen also use the Swiss franc. Franc banknotes are issued by the central bank of Switzerland, the Swiss National Bank, while coins are issued by the federal mint, Swissmint.
Financial InstrumentValue
Asset NameU.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc
SymbolUSDCHF=X
CurrencyCHF
Underlying instrumentSpot or term Forex Market
Trend/SignalValue
Current Trend/Signal Bullish (last signal was a Buy)
Strength0.3
DateOctober 14, 2016
Generated Signals Chart
A chart of U.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc USDCHF=X dated October 14, 2016 to backtest the trend timer model buy and sell signals
Generated Signals
NatureDate (dd.MM.yyyy)# Days previous op.QuoteResult previous op.
Buy22.03.20010001.73070+0.00
Sell02.08.20011321.71140-1.12
Buy24.01.20021751.67500-2.13
Sell25.03.20020601.66550-0.57
Buy28.03.20020031.68180+0.98
Sell01.04.20020031.66260-1.14
Buy15.07.20034701.37910-17.05
Sell30.09.20030771.32060-4.24
Buy06.04.20041891.29745-1.75
Sell28.05.20040521.25440-3.32
Buy31.08.20040951.26805+1.09
Sell30.09.20040301.24870-1.53
Buy09.02.20051321.21770-2.48
Sell22.02.20050131.16335-4.46
Buy06.04.20050421.20735+3.78
Sell19.01.20062881.28145+6.14
Buy09.02.20060211.30240+1.63
Sell19.04.20060681.27120-2.40
Buy21.09.20061551.25120-1.57
Sell22.09.20060011.23455-1.33
Buy28.09.20060061.24825+1.11
Sell21.11.20060541.24115-0.57
Buy19.01.20070591.25000+0.71
Sell28.02.20070401.22120-2.30
Buy11.06.20071021.23975+1.52
Sell09.07.20070281.21710-1.83
Buy11.08.20083991.08380-10.95
Sell26.12.20081371.07010-1.26
Buy28.01.20090331.14440+6.94
Sell04.05.20090951.12880-1.36
Buy28.01.20102691.05200-6.80
Sell07.07.20101591.05460+0.25
Buy21.09.20114410.89330-15.29
Sell30.03.20121910.90290+1.07
Buy06.04.20120070.91770+1.64
Sell30.04.20120240.90820-1.04
Buy04.05.20120040.91760+1.04
Sell14.09.20121330.92510+0.82
Buy05.03.20131720.94320+1.96
Sell19.06.20131050.91940-2.52
Buy02.07.20130130.94930+3.25
Sell29.07.20130270.93090-1.94
Buy23.01.20141780.91070-2.17
Sell25.01.20140020.89650-1.56
Buy26.05.20141200.89470-0.20
Sell21.01.20152400.86000-3.88
Buy05.03.20150430.97380+13.23
Sell01.05.20150560.93420-4.07
Buy17.07.20150770.96070+2.84
Sell11.03.20162380.98170+2.19
Buy27.05.20160760.99170+1.02
Sell08.06.20160120.95970-3.23
Buy15.07.20160370.98340+2.47
Sell12.08.20160280.97410-0.95
Buy11.10.20160600.98720+1.34
Info : Current14.10.20160030.98990+0.27
Return and result of the differents strategies
Time Weighted Return ofValue (over the Period)
Buy and Hold-37.88
Model Buy and Hold-42.80
Model Long Only-30.75
Model Short Only+17.40
Model Long and Short-18.70
Time Weighted Return ofValue (Annualized)
Buy and Hold-2.40
Model Buy and Hold-2.72
Model Long Only-1.95
Model Short Only+1.10
Model Long and Short-1.19
Model OverPerf vs Model Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Model Buy and Hold+0.76
Model Short vs Model Buy and Hold+3.82
Model Long and Short vs Model Buy and Hold+1.53
Model OverPerf vs Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Buy and Hold+0.45
Model Short vs Buy and Hold+3.51
Model Long and Short vs Buy and Hold+1.22
Various statistical indicators for this asset
Last 20 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote0.97727
Standard Deviation0.00732
Lowest quote0.96520
Highest quote0.98990
Median0.97755
Max Daily Loose percent-0.81992
Max Daily Gain percent0.56026
Simple Perf.1.05145
Last 5 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote0.98607
Standard Deviation0.00392
Lowest quote0.98090
Highest quote0.98990
Median0.98540
Max Daily Loose percent-0.31316
Max Daily Gain percent0.56026
Simple Perf.0.91753
Previous year StatisticsValue
Mean quote0.96343
Standard Deviation0.03209
Lowest quote0.84840
Highest quote1.03070
Median0.93955
Max Daily Loose percent-12.12151
Max Daily Gain percent3.34748
Simple Perf.0.81522
First quote0.99360
Last quote1.00170
Current year StatisticsValue
Mean quote0.98019
Standard Deviation0.01531
Lowest quote0.95350
Highest quote1.02310
Median0.98830
Max Daily Loose percent-2.28583
Max Daily Gain percent1.47350
Simple Perf.-1.17800
First quote1.00170
Last quote0.98990
Seasonal Return by Month for this asset
MonthCumulated TWR Return.#MonthAverage TWR Return
January+12.6517+0.74
February-2.4317-0.14
March-6.9517-0.41
April-6.4517-0.38
May+7.5217+0.44
June-15.1417-0.89
July-3.2517-0.19
August+6.0617+0.36
September-4.2417-0.25
October+2.4017+0.14
November-2.6516-0.17
December-27.3516-1.71
TWR Return by Year for this asset
YearTWR Return.
2000+1.69
2001+2.46
2002-16.72
2003-10.56
2004-8.06
2005+15.90
2006-7.38
2007-7.15
2008-5.81
2009-3.06
2010-9.77
2011+0.41
2012-2.35
2013-2.75
2014+11.59
2015+0.82
2016-1.18
Year 2011 to 2012 Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2011+0.67
February2011-1.04
March2011-1.63
April2011-4.51
May2011-2.46
June2011-1.31
July2011-6.28
August2011+1.95
September2011+12.63
October2011-3.48
November2011+4.29
December2011+2.90
January2012-1.65
February2012-2.20
March2012+0.12
April2012+0.59
May2012+6.95
June2012-2.35
July2012+2.87
August2012-2.13
September2012-1.61
October2012-0.96
November2012-0.42
December2012-1.19
Year 2013 to 201n Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2013-0.74
February2013+2.74
March2013+1.69
April2013-2.06
May2013+3.08
June2013-1.40
July2013-1.83
August2013+0.38
September2013-2.72
October2013-0.79
November2013+0.70
December2013-1.62
January2014+0.94
February2014-0.98
March2014-0.35
April2014-0.76
May2014+1.61
June2014-0.84
July2014+2.46
August2014+0.99
September2014+4.09
October2014+0.74
November2014+0.39
December2014+2.85
January2015-7.33
February2015+3.32
March2015+2.10
April2015-3.13
May2015-0.01
June2015-0.73
July2015+3.15
August2015+0.51
September2015+0.89
October2015+1.02
November2015+4.15
December2015-2.55
January2016+2.14
February2016-2.60
March2016-3.81
April2016+0.17
May2016+3.54
June2016-1.49
July2016-1.03
August2016+1.41
September2016-1.36
October2016+2.10
Quotes UsedValue
Link on Quote FileUSDCHF_20161014.csv
Quote File Used/local/java/TrendTimer/quote_data/USDCHF_20161014.csv
# of Quotes4342
File first date (dd.MM.yyyy)03.01.2000
File first quote1.59350
File last date (dd.MM.yyyy)14.10.2016
File last quote0.98990
First data considered (dd.MM.yyyy)18.05.2000
First data considered1.73500
Min. Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)10.08.2011
Min. Quote value0.73010
Max Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)26.10.2000
Max Quote value1.82000
Max daily drop date (dd.MM.yyyy)15.01.2015
Max Daily Drop percent-12.12151
Max daily gain date (dd.MM.yyyy)06.09.2011
Max daily Gain percent9.46135
Signals StatisticsValue
# Generated Signals55
Avg # op. by year3.49
# Days5674
# Days in years15.76
Biggest loose (Long only)-4.46
Min # days uninvested (before Buy Signal)3
Max # days uninvested (before Buy Signal)470
Min # days invested (before Sell Signal)1
Max # days invested (before Sell Signal)288
TechnicalValue
Program NameMyTrendTimer v0.99.98.3
Java Version1.8.0_77
OS NameLinux
OS Version4.0.4-301.fc22.x86_64
User Namemarc
Calculation Time (Ms)393
Tech Id540396199-123960
XML output fileUSDCHF_20161014.xml
Web Roothttp://www.MyTrendTimer.com/
Complete Xml URLhttp://www.MyTrendTimer.com/xml/USDCHF_20161014.xml
# Warnings found70
Generated on (dd.MM.yyyy HH:mm:ss)14.10.2016 19:50:56
Disclaimer
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Prior to execution of any security trade, you are advised to consult your authorized financial advisor to verify the accuracy of all information. Neither MyTrendTimer nor anyone is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You can freely redistribute the information found herein as long as this disclaimer is included unmodified. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Some indexes, benchmarks or brand names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners.
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